Regional forecast · Not an observing destination

State College, PA

Wednesday night, October 14-15

Recheck

Model outlook: Borderline

Best window
Wednesday 8:00 PM EDT-Thu, 6:00 AM EDT
Primary modeled limiter
Cloud cover

Moderate confidence forecastOne weather source (NWS); independent agreement unavailable, so confidence is capped at moderate.

Issued

Forecast expires

This is a regional forecast sample, not a verified observing destination. Its model category summarizes reported inputs, not complete observing quality.

Next step: Recheck local conditions before leaving; confirm a real site's access before making a travel plan.

Plan on mapSaves on this device.
Decision details and other actions

State College, PA is a borderline broad forecast zone during Wednesday night, October 14-15. Compare other zones, then verify a real observing site instead of treating this centroid as a destination.

Forecast source cycle: Oct 14 (UTC)

Single weather provider (NWS); independent agreement unavailable. Confidence is capped at medium. Confidence is medium.

View Pennsylvania forecast
How to read this model outlook

This category summarizes supported inputs available for this forecast scope. It is not a probability or a measurement of actual observing conditions.

State College, PA hourly decision inputs

Use the hourly view to compare the model category and supported inputs across the night. Categories are not probabilities or measurements of actual sky quality.

Hourly forecastModel category for supplied samples
  1. PoorSelected window
  2. PoorSelected window
  3. BorderlineSelected window
  4. BorderlineSelected window
  5. BorderlineSelected window
  6. BorderlineSelected window
  7. BorderlineSelected window
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  12. BorderlineSelected window
  13. BorderlineSelected window
  14. BorderlineSelected window
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Categories summarize supplied forecast-model inputs, not the full quality of an actual observing session. Missing or stale samples are unavailable; a supported ineligible hour is kept distinct.

Strongest supported comparison window

Wed, 8:00 PM EDT-Thu, 6:00 AM EDT

Compare the reported inputs below before choosing an hour.

1 / 20
Hourly forecast inputs · 20 samples

Scroll sideways for all conditions. Keyboard: focus the table, then use the arrow keys.

Hourly general-stargazing model category, clouds, precipitation, Moon interference, darkness and confidence
TimeModel categoryCloudsRainMoonDarknessConfidence
Poor (selected window)83%2%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Poor (selected window)83%2%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)75%2%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)75%2%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)61%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)61%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)50%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)50%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)59%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)59%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)70%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)70%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)60%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)60%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)58%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)58%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)51%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)51%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)59%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast
Borderline (selected window)59%0%0%100%Moderate confidence forecast

Wed 8:00 PM selected

Model outlook: Poor. Confidence: Moderate confidence forecast.

This hour belongs to the selected comparison window; its category summarizes the reported model inputs for this hour.

Clouds 83%

Precipitation 2%

Moon effect 0%

Darkness 100%

What this forecast included

What the model included
Selected forecast window; 20 source samples.

cloud cover: window summary value 30; hourly support complete (20 of 20 selected samples).

solar darkness: window summary value 100; hourly support complete (20 of 20 selected samples).

target-specific suitability: window summary explicitly null; no hourly factor values (0 of 20 selected samples).

Moon interference: window summary value 100; hourly support complete (20 of 20 selected samples).

ambient light / sky brightness: window summary explicitly null; no hourly factor values (0 of 20 selected samples).

independent provider agreement: window summary explicitly null; no hourly factor values (0 of 20 selected samples).

This is model-input coverage, not measured sky quality, observing success, or probability.

Published hourly evidence does not include solar-altitude values. The reported darkness input is separate and is not a substitute. These inputs explain the existing model outlook; they do not establish a calibrated probability of good observing conditions.

Why this score

The practical factors behind tonight's decision

Cloud cover is the main limit on this window.

Planning note: Compare broad zones and verify a real site before making a travel decision.

Clouds: 62.6%

Moon interference during the decision window: 0.02%

Regional darkness proxy: Very high

Light-pollution impact is unavailable for this forecast zone.

How to use this forecast zone

Select and verify a real observing site before travel

  • Recheck broad clouds and moonlight before Wednesday 8:00 PM EDT-Thu, 6:00 AM EDT.
  • Choose a real public observing site inside the zone; this forecast centroid is not a destination.
  • Confirm legal access, parking, gate hours, road conditions, and your return route for that real site.
  • Use the state map to compare zones, then recheck local conditions before travel.

Planning beyond tonight

Longer-range regional guidance

A supported seven-night regional series is not available yet. Recheck each day as the next night enters the reliable forecast window.

How dark is it here?

Simple visibility context

Darkness is useful here, but tonight's forecast is limited by cloud cover.

Site darkness: Not assigned. Choose a real location before using a Bortle class.

Moon interference: 0.02% during the selected regional decision window

Forecast zone scope

Regional conditions only; this is not an access record

Use this zone to compare broad conditions, then choose a real public observing site. The forecast centroid does not provide legal access, parking, closing hours, or a safe arrival point.

Forecast confidence: Moderate confidence forecast

Forecast source cycle: Oct 14 (UTC)

Generated: Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC

Location trust: Trust details still being collected

Access notes: No additional structured access notes yet.

What this sample can tell you

Conditions only, not object visibility

This regional sample describes broad clouds, window-specific Moon interference, and dark-sky potential. It does not verify that a named object is above the horizon at this centroid.

Check verified What Can I See results

What to bring tonight

Keep the setup matched to conditions

  • Naked eye is enough for the main view.
  • Binoculars are optional.
  • Bring a red flashlight.
  • Dress warmer than the daytime temperature.
  • Check clouds again before leaving.

Event context for this forecast zone

Use event pages for timing, then choose and verify a real observing site

Practical actions

Plan and share quickly

Safety check: confirm legal access, parking, weather updates, and return route before leaving.

Read: choose a good public stargazing spot

Guides for choosing a real observing place

Use these to turn regional conditions into a verified site plan

State College, PA Stargazing Tonight | The Star Window