Forecast trust and accuracy
Forecast accuracy is being tracked
We are collecting verified outcomes before publishing reliability scores. Metrics will appear once there are enough nights to make them meaningful.
Reliability scores publish after enough verified nights are collected to avoid misleading small-sample claims.
Readiness: Tracking started
Sample window: More verified nights needed before publishing reliability scores.
Forecast freshness
Forecast date: 2026-07-13
Status: fresh
Last generated: 2026-07-14T03:57:37.169Z
7-day reliability
7-day accuracy: Pending
False go rate: Pending
False go nights: Pending
Average forecast error: Pending
Tracks nights that looked worth going but were later verified as poor.
Coverage + calibration
Verified outcome coverage: Pending
Evaluated rows: Pending
Verified coverage days: Pending
Conflicting source rate: Pending
Pending means the sample is still too small to publish responsibly.